SAVE THE DATE for the PROSLIDE online event!
June 29th, 2023 
10:00 – 11:40 CEST

Participation is free with no registration needed.
Scan the QR in the flyer to join the meeting or click here.

We are happy to participate in the European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2023. We are presenting three PROSLIDE contributions in the format of 10-min oral presentations as follows:

Functional regression for space-time prediction of precipitation-induced shallow landslides in South Tyrol, Italy
NH3.6 – Space and time forecasting of landslides
Thursday, April 27th, 08:45 – 8:55 CEST
Abstract here

Improving the performance of a dynamic slope stability model (TRIGRS) with integrated spatio-temporal precipitation data
NH3.6 – Space and time forecasting of landslides
Thursday, April 27th, 08:45 – 8:55 CEST
Abstract here

A data-driven approach to derive spatially explicit dynamic “thresholds” for shallow landslide occurrence in South Tyrol (Italy)
NH3.7 – Towards reliable landslide early warning systems
Thursday, April 27th, 15:15 – 15:25 CEST
Abstract here

For more details about the conference program visit CO Meeting Organizer EGU23 (copernicus.org).

On March 20th, Mateo Moreno gave a talk on findings in the data-driven analyses for the PROSLIDE project. The presentation was part of a series of seminars at the Biostatistics and Spatial Processes (BioSP) unit at the National Research Institute for Agriculture, Food and the Environment (INRAE).

In the week of March 20th, Mateo Moreno visited the Biostatistics and Spatial Processes (BioSP) unit at the National Research Institute for Agriculture, Food and the Environment (INRAE), Avignon, France.  The research visit covered the ongoing analysis regarding dynamic landslide modeling with daily precipitation estimates using functional regression approaches.

Biostatistics and Space Processes | Biostatistics & Spatial Processes (inrae.fr)

As part of the yearly IDC – Natural Hazards in Mountain regions winter seminar, Lotte presented the progress of her thesis and work on the PROSLIDE project. The talk was titled: “Spatial transferability of a physically based shallow landslide model (TRIGRS) using parameter ensembles”. The work of the talk shows that when TRIGRS is calibrated to a set of geotechnical parameter values (instead of just one value pair), this set can be transferred between the two studied areas located in Voarlberg and South Tyrol. Most likely, this holds only for set-ups using homogeneous input for the geotechnical parameters.

On December 13, Stefan Steger presented the data-driven landslide modelling results of Proslide within the Trans-Alp conference at Eurac HQ to researchers and Local and Regional authorities involved in Civil Protection. It was shown how the dynamic landslide prediction modelfrom Proslide can be coupled with dynamic exposure estimates from TransAlp to move towards an impact-oriented natural hazard early warning.

The TRANS-ALP project has been implemented by a consortium of environmental, meteo-hydrological and earth observations institutes from Austria and Italy, with the purpose of better understanding the threats related to extreme events at cross-border scale and elaborating new methodologies to improve the impact forecasting of extreme events in the mountain areas. The project is drawing to its conclusion and the partnership wanted to organise a final conference to sharing and discussing future perspectives with experts and stakeholders.

More infos on the event can be found here:

International Conference

On November 15th, Mateo Moreno gave an overview of some of the research findings within the PROSLIDE project. The presentation was entitled Space-time modeling of precipitation-induced shallow landslides in South Tyrol, Italy and it was presented during a series of seminars at the Faculty of Geo-information Science and Earth Observation (ITC),  University of Twente.

As it was announced in previous days, we glady had the chance to share with the scientific community at the 10th International Conference of the International Association of Geomorphologists (IAG) two contributions on the frame of the PROSLDIE project.

Stefan Steger gave an oral presentation on Applying a hierarchical Generalized Additive Model to integrate predisposing, preparatory and triggering factors for landslide prediction (session ICG2022-19 – Geomorphological hazards and risk management) –> see more

 &

Mateo Moreno presented a poster on Comparing different strategies to incorporate the effectively surveyed area into landslide susceptibility modeling (session ICG2022-19 – Geomorphological hazards and risk management) –> see more

Find out more details at the meeting programme CO Meeting Organizer ICG2022 (copernicus.org)

In the first and second week of September, Lotte de Vugt took part in both the IMC conference and the related Student4Students Summerschool.

At the IMC she presented her work on the spatial transferability analysis of the model TRIGRS, where the calibration of TRIGRS for the Passeier valley was compared to calibration of TRIGRS from an existing study located in Vorarlberg, Austria. The abstract of the talk can be found here: https://www.imc2022.info/sessions/id12-climate-change-impacts-on-alpine-mass-movements#1652042458449-lew7qqag-2u34

The IMC S4SS Summer school 2022 is a summer school that is organized leading up to the IMC conference and is unique due to the fact that it is organized by PhD students. Lotte de Vugt was also part of the organizing team and together with several colleagues organized several sessions on the topic of landslides. More information can be found here: https://www.imc2022.info/summerschool/portfolio/focus-group-natural-hazards/

Figure: Presentation calibration physically-based modelling, IMC

Figure: Landslide inventory session, S4SS

On the 1st of September, at the Eurac Research headquarters, we hosted the extended partner meeting for the PROSLIDE project with representatives from partner and associated partner institutions. The event had the goal of providing an overview of the recent progress developed within the project, offering room for discussion on improvement options and perspectives on the upcoming project stages.

The full-day meeting was carried out in blocks of presentations mainly divided into the regional-scale and catchment-scale results. For the first one, the presented content covered the landslide inventory preparation, rainfall thresholds and prediction surfaces, pixel-based and slope unit-based dynamic modeling of shallow landslide occurrence. The second part covered the study site selection, fieldwork and laboratory analyses, and the physically-based slope stability modeling. The meeting also included presentation blocks in which the plans for the project’s final phase were shared and discussed with the audience.

In the last part of the day, CNR-IRPI gave two presentations on empirical rainfall thresholds for landslide initiation and the Italian (national and regional) Landslide Early Warning System. Lastly, CNR-ISAC presented the RADAR precipitation estimation for debris flow occurrence in South Tyrol.

We thank all our attendees for the very interesting contributions and lively discussions.